From Frustration to Mastery: How Should-Cost Analysis and Carve-Back Negotiation Empower Buyers to Regain Control Over Supplier Pricing

If you’re a buyer, this story might feel all too familiar. Year after year, you sit across the negotiation table from your suppliers, hearing familiar justifications for price increases: rising raw material costs, higher energy prices, or supply chain disruptions. It’s frustrating because no matter how well you try to prepare, it often feels like you’re just reacting to the supplier’s demands. How can you break free from this cycle and turn the tables in your favor?

The good news? You’re not alone, and there’s a way forward. By combining Should-Cost Analysis and Carve-Back Negotiation, buyers can move from frustration to control, realigning their supply chain to a competitive, sustainable cost structure. This blog explores how you can make that transition step by step.


The Starting Point: Frustration and a Lack of Tools

Many buyers find themselves in a reactive position when dealing with suppliers. You hear phrases like:

  • “Raw material prices have gone up—there’s nothing we can do about it.”
  • “Our production costs have increased, and we need to pass that on to you.”
  • “The market is turbulent, and this is the new normal.”

Sound familiar? Without the right tools or data, it’s hard to push back. Suppliers often control the narrative because they have more visibility into their costs, profit margins, and market conditions than you do.

The result? Buyers end up accepting price increases because they feel they don’t have the leverage to challenge them. This can lead to rising costs across your supply chain, eroding competitiveness and straining your business.

But here’s the truth: suppliers don’t always have the upper hand. With the right approach, you can regain control and bring your supply chain back to a competitive status. That’s where Should-Cost Analysis and Carve-Back Negotiation come in.


Step 1: Building a Foundation with Should-Cost Analysis

Before you can successfully execute a carve-back negotiation, you need to understand the true cost drivers behind what you’re buying. This is where Should-Cost Analysis becomes a game-changer.

What is Should-Cost Analysis?
Should-Cost Analysis is a methodical approach to breaking down the total cost of a product or service into its component parts. It provides a clear, data-driven picture of what something should cost based on factors like raw material prices, production processes, labor, and overhead. By conducting a should-cost analysis, you can:

  • Gain visibility into your supplier’s cost structure.
  • Identify inefficiencies or overcharges.
  • Develop realistic benchmarks for negotiation.

How Does it Help?
Imagine you’re sourcing steel components, and your supplier claims rising raw material costs justify a 10% price increase. With should-cost analysis, you can dig deeper:

  • Material Costs: Have steel prices really risen as much as the supplier claims?
  • Production Efficiency: Has the supplier implemented productivity improvements that offset increased input costs?
  • Volume: Has your order volume grown, creating economies of scale that should lower per-unit costs?

By answering these questions, you can challenge the supplier’s narrative with confidence.


Step 2: Laying the Groundwork for Carve-Back Negotiation

Once you’ve armed yourself with insights from should-cost analysis, the next step is to apply the Carve-Back Negotiation strategy. This approach is designed to realign pricing with market conditions, breaking away from the upward spiral of yearly cost increases.

What is Carve-Back Negotiation?
Carve-back negotiation is a structured process that enables buyers to push back on inflated supplier pricing by leveraging data, market trends, and strategic preparation. It’s about carving back costs to reflect fair market conditions and supplier efficiencies.

When Should You Use It?
Carve-back negotiation is particularly effective when:

  • Market Conditions Improve: Supply chain disruptions ease, raw material prices drop, or supplier capacity increases.
  • Buyer’s Market Emerges: Suppliers face more competition, shorter lead times, or normalized inventory levels.
  • Data Supports Cost Reduction: Insights from should-cost analysis reveal overcharges or inefficiencies.

Step 3: Executing the Five Steps of Carve-Back Negotiation

To execute carve-back negotiation effectively, follow these five steps:

1. Data Gathering:
Start by collecting and analyzing all relevant data. Use your should-cost analysis to identify cost drivers, benchmark supplier pricing, and establish a baseline for negotiation. The goal is to have a clear, data-driven understanding of what the price should be.

2. Supplier Engagement:
Initiate communication with your supplier through a professional invitation letter. This sets the tone for a collaborative discussion while signaling your intent to challenge pricing. Be transparent about your objectives and emphasize the importance of competitiveness.

3. Negotiation Preparation:
Define your Most Desired Outcome (MDO) and Least Acceptable Agreement (LAA). Practice your arguments with a dry-run negotiation, involve senior stakeholders, and prepare materials like a Letter of Intent (LOI) to document the outcome.

4. Negotiation:
During the negotiation, present your case confidently using the data from your should-cost analysis. Highlight discrepancies between supplier pricing and market conditions, and use a collaborative approach to reach a fair agreement.

5. Post-Negotiation Finalization:
Act quickly to update contracts and implement the new pricing. Don’t let the moment slip away—immediate action ensures the savings are realized. Update your category strategy to reflect the new cost structure.


From Frustration to Success: A Buyer’s Transformation

Let’s revisit that initial feeling of frustration—sitting across the table from suppliers, unsure how to challenge their demands. By combining should-cost analysis and carve-back negotiation, you can transform this dynamic.

Instead of reacting to supplier requests, you’ll be driving the discussion, armed with data and a clear strategy. The result? A supply chain that’s not just cost-competitive but also strategically aligned with your organization’s goals.


Ready to Take the First Step?

If you’re ready to transform the way you approach supplier negotiations, we invite you to explore our two complementary courses:

  1. Should-Cost Analysis: Supporting Buyer Negotiations: Learn how to break down costs, uncover inefficiencies, and set benchmarks for negotiation.
  2. Carve-Back Negotiation: Master the process of realigning supplier pricing and driving long-term value for your business.

Together, these courses provide the knowledge and tools you need to regain control over supplier pricing and achieve sustainable cost savings.


Closing Thoughts

No buyer should feel powerless in the face of supplier price increases. With should-cost analysis and carve-back negotiation, you can move from frustration to mastery—equipping yourself with the skills to challenge pricing, secure fair agreements, and create value for your organization.

Start your knowledge journey today and take the first step toward transforming your supply chain!

Visit Prognos if you already now want to dive into a wide range of indexes.

Information about the courses:

Presentation of the Should Cost analysis by Prognos course

Join our Should Cost Analysis course today.

Presentation of the Carve-back negotiation course

Introduction to the Carve-back negotiation course at LHTS

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